An Analysis of Accounting Variables and its impact on Market price per Share: Evidence from Nifty Pharma Index Companies of India
Girish. S1*, Dr. Kavitha Desai2
1Research Scholar, Department of Commerce, Rayalaseema University, Kurnool AP, India
2Research Guide, Rayalaseema University and Associate Professor, Christ University, Bengaluru, India.
*Corresponding Author E-mail: girish.commerceprofessor@gmail.com
ABSTRACT:
A number ofresearch studiesis undertaken by the different countries to identify the information that affects the price per share.Earlier literature shows that a movement of stock price depends up on internal and external factors. Among the different internal factors and other firms specific factors such asearnings per share (EPS), Price to Book Value (P/BV), dividend per share (DPS), Closing Market Price Per share (MPPS) and book value per share (BVPS) is a determining factor that effect stock price. The present study investigated the impact of price to book value, dividend per share, earnings per share, closing market price per share and book value per share of stock price on a sample of 10 Nifty Pharma Index companies listed on the National Stock Exchange (NSE) of India from 2011 to 2017. Subsequently, by using regression analysis, we have analyzed the influence of accounting variables on MPPS. The overall results reveal that EPS, DPS, BVPS are statistically significant and positively influenced the MPPS.
KEYWORDS: Stock Price, Earnings Per Share ,Closing Market Price Per Share, , Dividend Per Share, Book Value Per Share And Price To Book Value.
INTRODUCTION:
The proof rumored in various studies tested in developed markets like USA and UK and their stock market reaction based on accounting information is basically according to the data content hypothesis and efficient market hypothesis (EMH).It is a troublesome challenge to check the market reactions to accounting information in rising markets as it is typically are characterized by a comparatively sizable amount of uninformed and unsophisticated investors, weak legal, low liquidity levels, regulative and organizational framework and operational bottlenecks (Osei, 2002)1.
Additionally, it's conjointly difficult because of excessive value volatility that could be a consequence of the comparatively unstable political and macro economic conditions. Many studies have been testing the market reaction to the accounting information in rising stock markets. Although there isvaried studies to check the stock price reaction to information within the developed countries markets very few studies in developing markets, particularly within the Indian pharmaceutical Companies.
Dissa-Bandara, et al. (2002)2 conducted a to test the market reaction data substance in profit declaration and found that regardless of differing reaction time, advertise responded totally to the information however the reaction required some serious energy. In addition Alternative inquiry done by Ramesh, et al. (2011)3, Gunasekara (2004)4 on market responses on reward issue and results uncover that the market responds each contrarily and totally to the issue of bonus. The primary objective of all financial statements is to provide financial information of an organizational performance to the internal and external stakeholders to make decisions. There are more studies done on the value of the financial report information impacting the stock market. Few researchers examined the effect of accounting information onthe future financial performance while different analysts measure the effect of bookkeeping factors on share value (Abarbanell, et al. 1998 )5. Amongst bookkeeping data; budgetary proportions from money related articulations like benefit and misfortune record and asset report assumes a urgent part to decide the stock cost.This paper identified four financial ratios to test the impact of the share price on the on a sample of 10 Nifty Pharma Index companies listed on the National Stock Exchange (NSE) of India from 2010 to 2017.The financial ratios include the Dividend Per Share (DPS),Earnings per Share (EPS), Price to Book Value, Closing market price per share and Book Value Per Share (BVPS). Finally, based on the literature review we formulated the hypothesis to analyze the relationship between the four accounting ratios and stock price.
REVIEW OF LITERATURE:
In carrying out the research examination of the stock value response to accounting information factors writing, since 1968 and there onwards nonstop investigations have been done by various researchers taking a gander at different viewpoints identified with the subject under dialog. In considering the connection between bookkeeping proportions and stock value Bhana (1996)6, "in his investigation utilized income per share (EPS) to affect the market responses at the Johannesburg Stock Exchange. This examination paper gives extra supporting proof which is steady with the basic behavioral view that financial specialists blow up to here and now income developments. Be that as it may, absolutely, inside the system of effective market speculation, it is plainly confusing that a sensational fall in the cost of the offer is prescient of a resultant ascent in organization particular income.
Perera, et al.(2010)7,“has made the empirical research on the relevance of accounting information on the investor's decisions in commercial banks registered under the Colombo stock exchange (CSE) in Sri Lanka. The correlation coefficient study was for five years from 2006 to 2009 on accounting data market price per share (MPPS), earnings per share (EPS), Return on Equity (ROE) and Earning Yield (EY). It shows that there is a relationship between accounting variables and stock return”.
Wang, et al. (2013)8 “studied the share value reactions to the accounting information within the Chinese Stock Exchange for the amount of 1 year in 2011. The analysis revealed the link between accounting information and therefore the stock value with a couple of accounting variables. The author used Earning per share (EPS) and Return on Equity (ROE) to clarify the stock value reactions to accounting information. The research revealed that there's a big positive relationship exists between accounting information and stock value. However the considerable degree varies; earnings per share and return on equity have the foremost vital correlation relationship”. (Prabath, 2014)9, has found that the stock price has positive reactions on EPS, DPS and BVPS using single and multiple regression models for Colombo stock exchange of SriLanka for the period of 2008 to 2012 using random sampling techniques.
Geetanjali Purswani, et al. (2017)10 investigated the positive relationship between accounting information EPS, DPS, BVPS and price to book value of share prices of construction companies listed on Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) of India using fixed effect and random effect model for the period of five years.
OBJECTIVES OF THE STUDY:
The main objectives of the study are to
1) To study the relationship between Earnings per Share (EPS) and the market price of the share.
2) To study the relationship between Dividends per Share (DPS) and the market price of the share.
3) To study the relationship between Book Value per Share (BVPS) and the market price of the share.
4) To study the relationship between the price to book value and the market price of the share.
HYPOTHESIS FOR THE STUDY:
The following hypothesis is developed based on the literature to achieve the above-mentioned objectives of the study.
H01: There is no significant relationship of EPS and the market price of the share.
H11: There is a significant relationship of EPS and the market price of the share.
H02: There is no significant relationship of DPS and the market price of the share.
H12: There is a significant relationship of DPS and the market price of the share.
H03: There is no significant relationship of BVPS and the market price of the share.
H13: There is a significant relationship of BVPS and the market price of the share.
H04: There is no significant relationship of price to book value and the market price of the share.
H14: There is a significant relationship of the price to book value and the market price of the share.
DATA AND METHODOLOGY:
The market price of the Share (MPS):
It is defined as the price to the market assigns to the companies stocks, is considered as the dependent variable. For this study, the closing market price of the share is taken as a proxy variable.
Independent Variables:
Earnings per share (EPS):
It is that portion of companies’ earnings allocated to each outstanding share of ordinary stock. EPS serves as an indicator of a company’s profitability.
Book Value per Share (BVPS):
It is companies’ assets minus its liabilities. It is the money given to shareholders at the time of liquidation/winding up.
Dividend per Share (DPS):
Dividend is that portion of profit which is distributed to share holders. Normallywhen companies’ makeprofits, it distributes to shareholders or reinvestson the company only. A stable dividend payout ratio signifies that the dividend policy of the company is sound.
Price-to-Book Value per Share (BVPS):
The price to book value per share (P/B) is a ratio iused to compare a stock’s price to its book value. It is calculated by dividing the current closing price of the stock by the latest quarter’s book value per share.
Sample and Method:
For this study, a sample of 10 companies listed throughout the study period (2011 to 2017) was selected from the Nifty Pharma Index Companies (as on 14.09.2017). The secondary data has been collected from the annual reports of the company, MoneyControl.Com, Prowess Data base of CMIE and the data based on the National Stock Exchange (NSE).
MODELS USED FOR ANALYSIS:
Fixed-Effect Model (FEM):
FEM is used in this study to take into consideration of heterogeneity of the companies. This is the most commonly used regression model for panel data.
Random Effect Model (REM):
REM is used in this study for the panel data regression to see the influence of heterogeneity in the behavior of breaking down the error term into two components. The following panel regression model is used to examine the relationship of EPS, DPS, BVPS, price to book value and share price.
MPPSit=β0+β1EPSit+β2DPSit+β3BVPSit+β4P_Bit+μ
Where
β0, β1, β2, β3, β4are the regression coefficients of accounting variables.
MPPS is closing market price per share
DPS is dividend per share
EPS is earning per share
P_B is price to book value per share µ is the stochastic error correctional term, and i and t represent firm and time (year) respectively.
Table1: List of Companies included in the sample.
|
Sl No |
Company Name |
|
1 |
AurobindoPharma Ltd. |
|
2 |
Cadila Healthcare Ltd. |
|
3 |
Cipla Ltd. |
|
4 |
Divi'S Laboratories Ltd. |
|
5 |
Dr. Reddy'S Laboratories Ltd. |
|
6 |
Glaxosmithkline Pharmaceuticals Ltd. |
|
7 |
Glenmark Pharmaceuticals Ltd. |
|
8 |
Lupin Ltd. |
|
9 |
Piramal Enterprises Ltd. |
|
10 |
Sun Pharmaceutical Inds. Ltd. |
Source: National Stock Exchange Official Website (www.nseindia.com)
RESULTS AND DISCUSSION:
At the outset, overall analysis of the findings is as follows: Firstly, we analyze the descriptive statistics and the correlation matrix. Secondly, using the fixed effect model and random effect model for the panel data, we analyze the impact of independent variables on the dependent variable.
Table 2: Descriptive Statistics of Accounting Variables and Price of the Share
|
Variable |
Mean |
Min |
Max |
Std D |
|
MPPS |
111 |
119 |
3814 |
880.11 |
|
EPS |
31.95 |
-191.09 |
111.21 |
37.92 |
|
P/B |
5.67 |
0.6 |
18.82 |
3.48 |
|
BVPS |
241 |
35.77 |
750.65 |
201.02 |
|
DPS |
12.6 |
0.4 |
62.5 |
15.34 |
Table 2 provides the insights on the descriptive statistics of all the variables used in the study. Market Price Per Share (MPPS) shows the highest value of standard deviation (880.1167495) and Dividend Per Share (DPS) show the lowest standard deviation (15.3452). Market Price per Share (MPPS) shows the highest mean value (1116.482143). Earnings per Share (EPS) show the minimum value of -191.09. Market Price per Share (MPPS) shows the maximum value of 3814.75. Further, Table.3 highlights correlation matrix concerning the variables that are considered in this study.
Table 3: Correlation Analysis Results
|
Variables |
MPPS |
EPS |
P/B |
BVPS |
DPS |
|
MPPS |
1 |
||||
|
EPS |
0.552 |
1 |
|||
|
P/B |
0.524 |
0.162 |
1 |
||
|
BVPS |
0.427 |
0.125 |
-0.368 |
1 |
|
|
DPS |
0.723 |
0.222 |
0.417 |
0.368 |
1 |
Table 3: After understanding the descriptive statistics and the correlation matrix, we looked at the impact of accounting variables, i.e., DPS, EPS, BVPS and P_B on the market price per share (MPPS) on the nifty 10 pharma companies of NSE in India using fixed effect model and random effect model for the panel data. To analyze the results we have used Eviews version 9.
Table 4: Panel Data Result Analysis of Fixed-Effect Model and Random Effect Model
|
|
Fixed-Effect Model |
Random-Effect Model |
||||
|
Variables |
Coefficient |
t-Statistic |
Prob |
Coefficient |
t-Statistic |
Prob |
|
Constant |
-927.4113 |
-7.094311 |
0.0000 |
-673.1076 |
-6.783488 |
0.0000 |
|
DPS |
17.20007 |
3.328865 |
0.0015 |
12.36741 |
3.965460 |
0.0002 |
|
EPS |
1.639025 |
1.803590 |
0.0767 |
4.929109 |
6.338664 |
0.0000 |
|
BVPS |
4.098142 |
10.61152 |
0.0000 |
2.630581 |
11.27679 |
0.0000 |
|
P_B |
138.1694 |
10.09260 |
0.0000 |
148.0359 |
12.56748 |
0.0000 |
|
R-Squared |
0.958790 |
|
|
0.816392 |
|
|
|
Adjusted R-Square |
0.949224 |
|
|
0.805093 |
|
|
|
SE of Regression |
198.3218 |
|
|
262.0370 |
|
|
|
F Statistic |
100.2233 |
|
|
72.25359 |
|
|
Table.4: Analyzes the results concerning fixed effect and random effect. Further, overall the model concerning fixed effect and random effect the models have explained about 95% and 84% of the total variation in the market price per share as reflected in R square value. In the fixed effect model, all the variables are statistically significant and influence the market price per share. Further, concerning random effect model, all the variables are statistically significant and have an impact on the market price per share. Overall, the results indicate that EPS, P/B, BVPS, and DPS are highly important in determining the market price. Therefore, while evaluating the market price of different companies, one has to consider the importance of these variables and its impact.
CONCLUSION:
The study was conducted to investigate the impact of accounting variables DPS, EPS, BVPS, and P_B on the market price per share (MPPS) on the nifty ten pharmacy companies of NSE in India. This is an attempt to make a study on how the accounting variables determine the equity share valuation in the selected companies. Based on the regression analysis the results revels that DPS, EPS, BVPS and P_B found to have significant positive impact on the market price per share.
REFERENCES:
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Received on 26.09.2017 Modified on 02.11.2017
Accepted on 02.12.2017 © A&V Publications All right reserved
Asian Journal of Management. 2018; 9(1): 333-336
DOI: 10.5958/2321-5763.2018.00051.3